Experiment: Baseline covariate balance table reported
What to Check
Randomized experiments must report a balance table showing that pre-treatment (baseline) covariates are similar across treatment and control groups. Balance on observables is the primary empirical check that randomization succeeded. A paper that does not show a balance table gives readers no way to assess whether the randomization was implemented correctly.
How to Check
- Locate the balance table. It should show means (and standard deviations or standard errors) of baseline covariates separately for treatment and control groups.
- Check that the covariates tested are: (a) pre-determined (measured before randomization), and (b) substantively important predictors of the outcome.
- Check whether the table reports p-values or t-statistics for differences in means. Alternatively, an F-test of joint significance of all covariates in a regression of treatment status on baseline characteristics is acceptable.
- Assess the balance: are there significant differences on important covariates? One or two marginally significant differences among many tests is expected by chance. Flag systematic imbalance (3+ significant differences, or imbalance on a key outcome predictor).
- For stratified or blocked randomization, check that the balance test accounts for the stratification (use within-strata comparisons or include strata fixed effects).
Pass Condition
Balance table present, covers key pre-treatment covariates, reports tests for differences, and shows no systematic imbalance. Any imbalance is acknowledged and controlled for in regression specifications.
Failure Examples
- No balance table: Paper describes a randomized experiment and proceeds directly to results. No evidence that randomization produced balanced groups. Fails.
- Post-treatment covariates included: Balance table includes variables that could be affected by treatment (e.g., midline outcomes). These are not valid balance checks — only truly pre-determined variables count. Fails.
- Systematic imbalance, not addressed: Treatment group has significantly higher baseline income (p = 0.02) and education (p = 0.04) than control. Paper proceeds without controlling for these. Fails — estimated treatment effect is confounded.
References
- Bruhn, M., & McKenzie, D. (2009). In pursuit of balance: Randomization in practice in development field experiments. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 1(4), 200–232.
- Muralidharan, K., & Niehaus, P. (2017). Experimentation at scale. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 31(4), 103–124.